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October 14, 2005

Another New Katrina Urban Legend

Posted by Eric at 5:17 am. Filed under: General

Captain Ed distills the WaPo’s “Polling Free-Fall Among Blacks” article.

In other words, it’s ludicrous and simply folly to use it for a report. Bear in mind, however, that Froomkin wasn’t alone in spouting it to the world. Tim Russert repeated it on Wednesday night’s NBC network news show with Brian Williams.

But it gets better — or worse, depending on your point of view — if the reader holds out to the fourteenth paragraph. The Post updates the story thus:

[Late Update: The Pew Research Center is just out with its latest poll, which has a larger sample, and it finds Bush’s approval rating among blacks at 12 percent, down only slightly from 14 in July. Here are those results.]

So the biggest free-fall in history has George Bush losing 2 points among a demographic which proportionally voted for him in reality one point lower last November than where he shows now. All of the numbers in the Pew poll fall within the margin of error — which means Bush hasn’t fallen at all among African-Americans.

And Conan O’Brien used it last night too. Captain says: “Welcome to the birth of an urban legend.”


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